A new book suggests that India’s reliance on the US dollar may be at risk if the Indian government wants to maintain its currency peg to the dollar.
In a new paper titled India’s Dollar Needs an Economic Recovery and Currency Convergence, economist J.P. Srinivasan argues that India is in a weak position to maintain the peg to US dollars, which it has been using to stabilize its currency, and that its central bank needs to find a way to reduce the dollar’s dependence on the dollar as a means of economic stabilization.
The paper argues that there is a need to focus on economic diversification and reforms that would help the Indian economy regain its long-term strength and spur growth, rather than the use of the dollar in order to keep the currency pegged.
It argues that the current political environment in India has created a situation where there is no clear way forward for the country to maintain a pegged system with the dollar and that a major political party in the government is likely to support any proposal to convert the Indian currency to a non-dollar currency.
“The Indian government needs to focus more on its economic diversified growth strategy, which includes a significant reduction in dependence on imports and exports, including those from the US,” Srinivasan said in a statement.
“There are clear risks to this, given the uncertainty about the US presidential election, but it is not a case of ‘if’ but ‘when’ the Indian central bank will decide to convert to a dollar.
This is not an easy decision, given that the Indian rupee has lost more than 70 percent of its value since the end of 2016, and it is doubtful that the country will be able to sustain a peg to dollar for a long time.”
In his paper, Sriniva argues that, despite India’s economic strength, the country needs to diversify its economy away from imports, exports and investment.
Srinivasang argues that Indian growth is slowing, and the Indian real estate market is highly vulnerable.
He writes that India will have to do more to diversification in order for it to grow and maintain its economic growth.
Srini Varma, an associate professor at the Jawaharlal Nehru University’s School of Management, said the paper makes a convincing case that India has a weak economy that cannot continue to rely on the American dollar.
“It seems that the Modi government is making a decision to abandon the USD and to convert it to another currency.
That decision is in violation of India’s Constitution and the Constitution of the United States of America,” he told Business Standard.”
For the government, it seems that it is a political decision to take a risk to be able not only to maintain, but also to grow its economy.
This has been done in the past.
I don’t see it as a political move but an economic decision.”
Varma, however, added that the US economy is not immune from a weakening global economy.
“India is not alone in having an economic crisis and there are countries in Asia who have their own issues,” he said.
“There is no shortage of countries in the world that have economic problems and need monetary policy to stimulate growth.
But I don.
India has its own economic problems, too.
India needs to look at what is happening in the US and other countries and the solution will come from an economic recovery and/or conversion of the Indian dollar to a USD.”
The US currency has lost 80 percent of the value since mid-2016, and is now trading around $1.50 per US dollar.
India’s currency peg is linked to the US Federal Reserve’s $85 billion dollar asset purchases programme, and India’s central bank has been buying dollars to maintain and diversify the currency’s value.
But while the central bank was buying dollars, it was also holding the rupee’s value against other currencies, which were held by central banks around the world.
India, for example, has no access to the yuan, which is the only other major non-currency pegged to the value of the US currency.
According to Srinak, the current currency policy of India is not sustainable.
“I am not saying that India should abandon the dollar, but this policy has created huge uncertainty for the Indian economic and monetary recovery,” he added.
“We are talking about a country with a GDP of $5 trillion and a population of about 5 billion people, and its currency is pegged to US currency.”
Srinak said that a decision on converting the Indian Rupee to a foreign currency will depend on the economic and political environment of the country.
“What the Indian authorities are trying to do is to find an economic solution that will be sustainable and sustainable,” he explained.
“The economic situation in India is very weak and the political environment is very uncertain.
The government is not making the best of the situation.”